Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 6.899483 7.795284 8.778509 9.940267 11.278643 12.775846 14.582719
2024-12-15 5.612275 6.789814 8.185874 9.972674 12.212497 14.945110 18.558478
2024-12-22 4.747268 6.043392 7.671599 9.886605 12.851210 16.724272 22.236480
2024-12-29 4.334198 5.757344 7.634265 10.323854 14.133166 19.417149 27.446088
2025-01-05 3.875433 5.330482 7.327947 10.316907 14.756821 21.238366 31.660493
2025-01-12 3.486987 4.942711 7.011817 10.227653 15.210209 22.823812 35.709782
2025-01-19 3.027386 4.397805 6.401899 9.615701 14.772819 22.961202 37.435984
2025-01-26 2.806114 4.178472 6.244069 9.663904 15.352996 24.752212 42.141438
2025-02-02 2.680476 4.088868 6.269349 9.994810 16.418310 27.462149 48.858606
2025-02-09 2.539650 3.959779 6.215626 10.182681 17.252781 29.867702 55.392105
2025-02-16 2.403948 3.824975 6.136777 10.313470 17.992776 32.185813 62.123332
2025-02-23 2.278590 3.695073 6.051785 10.419730 18.692482 34.507615 69.237826
2025-03-02 2.098519 3.461952 5.776967 10.168557 18.715239 35.571187 74.001185
2025-03-09 1.967802 3.303024 5.617262 10.112512 19.107781 37.427546 80.855426
2025-03-16 1.842254 3.142646 5.440298 10.003744 19.378948 39.065367 87.513241
2025-03-23 1.804680 3.136002 5.540841 10.441434 20.821683 43.412225 101.519294
2025-03-30 1.710810 3.018589 5.424472 10.433080 21.316958 45.728466 110.925200
2025-04-06 1.614988 2.890027 5.275781 10.342373 21.619243 47.641294 119.668174
2025-04-13 1.465335 2.649085 4.891359 9.722624 20.665356 46.448214 119.722062
2025-04-20 1.403595 2.572631 4.824093 9.771415 21.247509 49.071260 131.082067
2025-04-27 1.376658 2.561739 4.886250 10.106486 22.541635 53.672451 149.293821
2025-05-04 1.336151 2.520823 4.883627 10.296732 23.510739 57.589118 166.381628
2025-05-11 1.292511 2.470375 4.856973 10.429177 24.353197 61.302866 183.756267